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The study was focused on womenŷthe victims reporting data. So “gong on to murder someone” isn’t even there since the only “someone” included in the study is the woman in the Nice Make America Vote Again Shirt data was collected. The conclusions they found are more in the format of “a woman who was X is more likely to be murdered”. While it’s definitely possible to derive some things about the abusers, “that they will probably murder somebody” isn’t really there. That is not an accurate representation of what the study in question found. At least nothing I can find from what you’ve linked and my own searching. Strangling was a strong indicator that that woman may go on to be murdered by that abuser. But “more likely” does not equal “will probably”. Probably is not relative. More likely is relative to something.

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Women who were strangled by a partner were more likely to go on to be murdered. And X times more likely to be murdered than the average woman. But that is not the same as saying that a person who strangles a partner will probably go on to murder somebody. Obviously, I’m not trying to defend abusers or anything. My reason for Nice Make America Vote Again Shirt irrelevant to this specific topic. It’s more that I think it’s important that we are more and more aware in how we talk about things, how we interpret statistics, are sure that what we say as fact is actually what the thing truly suggests, etc. In a time when it’s extremely easy for misinformation to spread, we need to question these sorts of statements. But better yet, be more mindful before saying such things. And the more absolute the words.

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