An 8 point margin of error seems very large to me, especially when a lot of league positions have come down to an Awesome Football Matters Shirt. They say a manager has an 8% impact on a team’s success. No idea how they calculate that and a team’s success involved so many factors that I’m not sure how they boiled it down to a percentage. It just makes no sense to me. They are trying to evaluate something incredibly complex using the stats of a video game that are primarily tuned to help sell said video games and aren’t necessarily trying to be super accurate. Unless my understanding of uncertainty and statistics is wrong -which very well may be- an 8 point margin. Of error makes all results of this “study” pointless.
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All their results are within that margin of error, so it’s impossible to know if the plus and minus points effects thingy is attributable to a systemic cause or just to random probability. Again, the 8 point margin is the Awesome Football Matters Shirt. Which makes things better or worse depending on how you look at it. Similarly, managers’/players’ influence is the average of multiple seasons for that manager or player, so it’s possible that some manager/player-years fall well outside that margin of error. The thing is by nature football is a zero-sum game. When some teams win, others are losing. So if you look at the big data of the sum of the manager’s effect, it’s easy to say that’s nothing.
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Secondly, this is a condensed analysis of what Szymanski analyzed regarding the role of managers. But with far, far less analysis regarding social and behavioral effects. I’m fairly certain The Awesome Football Matters Shirt. So that’s not particular to this article. When you take a look at Pep’s Barca and City or Klopp’s Dortmund and Liverpool and then compare it to Simeone’s Madrid…I don’t know man….something tells me managers kinda have a little bit to do with how a team plays. Just a bit. Maybe a group of players would have randomly invented tiki-taka in training with no need for a coach like Pep. Then it’s really a nice shirt for all men and women. So you should buy this shirt. Thank you so much.