I started Robinhood a month ago right after Thanksgiving. I invested in Paypal, CQQQ, and some other tech stocks. The week after, there was a sector change and all the tech stocks went down. So I’m holding onto Paypal and CQQQ to make my money back. I dumped SQ and lost about 10 dollars from that. Now I invest in ETFs and indices because they are an Official If You Ain’t Makin Money U Losin Money Shirt. I hold onto STAG and Ford for the dividends. When I have more money to add, I’d probably invest in DIA and SPY. Some people lose the long term, but I guess I’m talking about indices like S&P. There is such a thing as over-diversification.
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Not really, you just end up with a worldwide average asset growth/loss over time. There’s nothing wrong with owning the productive output of the world. The only issue is that you’re certainly not going to be massively impressed with your returns–it will not be anything that anyone will be jealous of you for. You aren’t going to get 30% in a year. But you probably won’t lose 50% in a year, either. The only issue is that you’re certainly not Official If You Ain’t Makin Money U Losin Money Shirt. And that’s the crux. If you eliminate all risk, you eliminate reward. That is what we call over-diversification. Who cares if you avoid that 50% drawdown if you underperform the market over 30 years of investing. Also, there have been studies that prove you don’t need a shitton of ETFs to be properly diversified.
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You can effectively minimize market risk with about 20 holdings. Any more than that and you’re just stunting your returns. Well, with a very large percentage of the S&P 500 is comprised of Official If You Ain’t Makin Money U Losin Money Shirt. And, yes, if you have 20-30 positions you’re most likely going to perform in-line with “the market” returns. Avoiding loss is paramount to any kind of investing, period. The 50% drawdown requires a 100% return to break-even–it’s not minor. My point is that drawdown is a risk. Without risk, there is no reward. Minimizing drawdown is very important, but if your portfolio is over diversified to the point where you minimize drawdown by holding securities that are inversely correlated with the market, you ain’t getting shit long term.
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